The United Kingdom, or rather Britain, once stood as
the most powerful imperialist nation the world had ever seen, dominating the entire globe and
filling each Briton with a profound sense of pride and glory in their amazing nation. Even after
the dissolution of its vast empire, Britain remained an economic juggernaut, bolstered by its
stable politics, tremendous global influence, and strategic geographical position as a hub for
trade and commerce.
In fact, even after the collapse of its imperial might, Britain found itself in a remarkably
stable position for nearly an entire century - one hundred years of relative prosperity and
economic strength. However, that stability and prosperity has now given way to a troubling
descent. Those days of grandeur and stability now seem but a distant memory, and the UK finds
itself teetering on the very edge of a steep cliff of decline. From the pinnacles of power to
the humblest of homes, the signs of our nation's economic erosion are unmistakable. The sun
appears to be slowly setting on the British Empire, and it is a bitter reality that demands our
greatest attention and urgent action.
In this speech, I will speak in depth about what I believe to be the economic demise of the
United Kingdom - a descent that threatens to undermine the very foundations upon which our
nation was built. So, what happened? What caused this once-mighty nation to find itself in such
a precarious position?
Like an ever-growing tumour, the cancer of economic demise has expanded, spreading its
tentacles into every aspect of our society. We stand at crossroads, faced with only two choices:
to surrender to the forces of decay, or to rise within the fires of adversity.
London, the world's second financial city (and it is very disappointing to see that we
aren't the first anymore), should be a beacon of prosperity. Yet within its glittering skyline
lies a stark divide, an abyss of inequality that widens with each passing day. The statistics
don't lie: the tiny, top 10% of Londoners hold a massive 44.3% of the city's total net wealth,
while the rest scramble for crumbs. And where in London do you think this top 10% are? No, its
not South Kensington. Its actually the one square mile of tiny land called the City of London.
Not “London”, but “THE CITY of London”.
But it's not just the City - the affluent enclaves of Canary Wharf and South Kensington also
house a significant portion of this top 10%. Canary Wharf, what used to be a massive pile of
unattractive industrial poo, is now the gleaming financial district on the Isle of Dogs, and it
is packed with the offices of global banks and financial firms, attracting a highly-paid
professional class. And in the leafy, museum-filled streets of South Kensington, you'll find the
palatial townhouses and luxury flats of London's old money and new tech fortunes.
While the majority of Londoners scrape by taking aesthetic pictures on Snapchat, wishing to
be part of the rich, this tiny sliver at the top enjoys unimaginable wealth and privilege,
insulated from the realities facing the rest of the city. It's a stark portrait of inequality,
where the spoils of London's success are hoarded by the few rather than shared in a fair and
impartial manner. The numbers don't lie - this is the true face of wealth and power in the
capital.
But the disparity extends far beyond the capital's boundaries. Venture outside London, and
you'll find entire regions mired in economic stagnation, relics of a bygone era, forgotten by
regular people. This grotesque imbalance is a stain on our nation's conscience and a threat to
our collective well-being.
According to the Office for National Statistics, the UK's regional economic divide is the
highest among G7 nations, with London and the South East accounting for a staggering 40% of the
country's total economic output. This stark contrast is a damning accusation of our failure to
foster inclusive growth and equitable development.
(sarcasm) But, on a… so called “plus” side, it means that the South is better than the
North.
I don't even need to start talking about (sarcastic disgust) Birmingham or Manchester…
The harsh reality is that the United Kingdom has been trapped in a prolonged period of
economic stagnation for nearly two, entire decades. While real wages grew by a robust and
reasonable 33% in the decade from 1970 to 2007, they have since "flatlined", costing the average
worker a staggering £10,700 per year in lost wage growth.
This toxic combination of low growth and high inequality has left typical households in
Britain a shocking 10% poorer than their peers in countries like France and Germany. In fact,
the poorest fifth of UK households are now a staggering 20% worse off than their counterparts
across the Channel.
The numbers are truly devastating. Over the past 15 years, the UK's productivity growth has
languished at half the rate seen across other advanced economies, placing us in the BOTTOM 10%
of OECD countries in terms of business investment?!?!?! - a deficit that has cost our economy a
crippling five… percent… of… GDP.
Worse still, an entire generation of young workers, some 9 million strong, have never
experienced an economy with sustained average wage rises. This lost decade of opportunity has
left the typical UK household £8,300 worse off compared to similar households in France and
Germany. And it also entices British citizens to just… give up and leave our country because a
different country offers them something better!
These are not just random numbers, but a damning indictment of our nation's economic
performance. While our European neighbours have forged ahead, we have languished in a marsh of
stagnation, our once-proud economic might reduced to a shadow of its former self.
The time has come to confront this harsh reality head-on, to acknowledge the failures of the
past and chart a bold new course towards prosperity. For the sake of our youth, your future
children, our families, and the very future of our nation, we must act now to revive the
economic engine that once made the United Kingdom the envy of the world.
The revolving door of prime ministers - Theresa May, Boris Johnson, Liz Truss, and now Rishi
Sunak - has left us dizzy with disappointment, their tenures marked by chaos and unfulfilled
vows.
Liz Truss's ill-fated mini-budget, in particular, was a harbinger of doom, a reckless gamble
that sent shockwaves through our already fragile economy, wiping out £30 billion from the
nation's pension funds in a single day.
And let us not forget the insidious influence of money in politics. Major corporations
"donate" vast sums to political parties, a thinly veiled attempt to sway decision-making and
policies in their favour. In the 2019 general election alone, the Conservative Party received a
staggering £16.5 million in donations from just 10 wealthy individuals and organisations,
raising serious questions about the integrity of what we believe to be our democratic process.
Perhaps the most egregious betrayal lies in the broken promises of Brexit. We were assured
that leaving the European Union would usher in a new era of prosperity, with £350 million per
week redirected to the National Health Service. Yet today, the NHS teeters on the brink of
collapse, its waiting times the worst in living memory, and the spectre of privatisation looming
ever closer.
In my last years' speech, I highlighted the scourge of tax evasion and its corrosive effects
on our society. The hypocrisy of our leaders is a bitter pill to swallow, as those who claim to
combat tax evasion are often the very ones engaging in it, exploiting loopholes and legal
technicalities to line their pockets.
Rishi Sunak's wife's non-dom status is a glaring example, a slap in the face to hardworking
citizens who dutifully pay their share.
Private schools, earning billions annually, evade taxes by exploiting charitable status
loopholes, depriving our nation of vital funds that could transform our education and healthcare
systems. (sarcastically) That's not very charitable of them, is it?!
However, I failed to mention a crucial aspect of tax evasion in the UK - the blatant
avoidance tactics employed by major corporations, and even British banks. Companies like Tesco's
and Sainsbury's are registered in offshore tax havens like the Cayman Islands, Jersey, and
Gibraltar, allowing them to shirk their responsibilities and deprive the UK of much-needed tax
revenue.
(surprised) Even our own financial institutions, the very institutions that are meant to
uphold the integrity of our economy, are complicit in this betrayal. NatWest, my bank for
example, is registered in Gibraltar, hiding behind the facade of a small branch in an offshore
British territory to evade taxes that should rightfully be paid to the British government.
The reality is stark, yet the average Briton remains largely unaware of the extent to which
their own country is being undermined by these corporate and financial schemes, so they even
indirectly support it unassumingly!
HMRC may "estimate" that the UK loses around ONLY £39.8 billion annually to tax evasion, but
given the scale of the problem, I strongly suspect the true figure is well into the trillions.
As I stated then, tax evasion is not just a financial issue but a moral one, threatening the
very fabric of our society. It widens the dystopian gap between the rich and the poor, creating
an uneven playing field and straining the resources upon which we all rely. There are all funds
that could have been invested in our crumbling infrastructure, our struggling healthcare system,
and our underfunded education sector.
But the economic demise of our nation extends beyond political failures and financial
misdeeds. It manifests in the struggles of our youth, the very future of our country. They toil
endlessly, pouring their meagre earnings into EXORBITANT rents, their dreams of home ownership
being a distant fantasy.
Aging infrastructure and bleak living conditions breed despair and unproductivity, a vicious
cycle that threatens to consume an entire generation. According to a recent study by the
Prince's Trust, a staggering 41% of young people in the UK experience regular bouts of
loneliness and poor mental health, a harrowing statistic that underscores the urgency of our
situation. That is almost half of this entire room!
This crisis of productivity and well-being among our youth has far-reaching consequences. A
report by the Confederation of British Industry warns that if left unaddressed, the UK's
productivity gap with its G7 counterparts could cost the economy a staggering £109 billion (yes,
repeat it) annually by 2030, a devastating blow to our nation's economic prospects.
Compounding these challenges is our welfare system, once a beacon of hope for the less
fortunate, but now a crutch for the indolent, a drain on our resources that incentivises
laziness and discourages ambition. While other European nations foster a culture of
self-reliance and productivity, we wallow in a sea of complacency, laziness, lack of effort, and
we are content to subsidise the idle at the expense of the industrious.
The numbers speak for themselves: in 2022, the UK government spent a staggering £112 billion
on welfare benefits, a figure that has risen by nearly 30% in the past decade. This
unsustainable trajectory threatens to cripple our economy and stifle the very innovation and
entrepreneurship that once made our nation great.
Yet, the true cost of our welfare system extends beyond mere financial figures. It
perpetuates a cycle of dependency and erodes the very fabric of our society, undermining the
values of hard work, self-sufficiency, and personal responsibility that have long been the
bedrock of our nation's success.
Now, wait a moment. (pause, 3 seconds) What is this man in front of you babbling on about
the British economy? Isn't a third world war on the very brink of starting? Aren't we in the
midst of an energy crisis and a cost-of-living crisis that threatens to plunge us into the
depths of despair?
Well, let us take a slight step back and look at the events that unfolded just before the
primary war in Eastern Europe began between Russia and Ukraine. You see, the so-called "energy
crisis" was merely an over exaggeration, another prime example of corporate greed, the
relentless pursuit of profit, and some smart covering up of bad tracks politically.
According to a report released by the UK's own publishing office in 2019, a mere 8% of our
energy was imported, and of that 8%, only 13% came from Russia. (slowly) That's a paltry 0.0104%
of our entire energy supply reliant on Russian sources. (slowly) Yes, zero point zero one
percent. The truth is, we were never truly in an energy crisis, because we basically didn't rely
on Russia at all unlike other European countries. - it was simply a political facade, a social
manipulation tactic to make people feel it was acceptable to pay more, simply because "times are
desperate." In fact, the very same countries that had a huge reliance on Russian gas for energy
generation are also the ones who are now the world's leading innovators in alternative energy
sources, showing tremendous growth and ambition.
And what of the lockdowns, you ask? Surely, they must have crippled our economy and left us
in shambles. Well, the reality is quite the opposite. While the rest of Europe prospered and
ramped up their recovery, we in the UK took a full two years to so-called "recover" from the
effects of lockdown. In fact, there are still some companies that are still using coronavirus as
an excuse for pretty much anything! I'm sure your teachers wouldn't let you skimp on homework
because the pandemic still somehow affects you in 2024. And let's not forget the irony of our
own prime minister hosting a raucous party in his home, even as he demanded that the entire
country "shut up and get on with their lives at home."
So, as you sit here, contemplating the state of our nation, I urge you to cast aside the
distractions and focus on the true, underlying issues that plague our economic landscape. For it
is only by confronting these challenges head-on that we can chart a course towards a brighter
future.
Everybody, the economic demise of the United Kingdom is not a mere spectre, but a harsh
reality that confronts us at every turn, and at every minute. Even right now as we sit in this
classroom. From the corridors of power to the streets of our cities, the signs are unmistakable,
a loud and clear call that demands action, resolve, and a collective commitment to reclaim our
former glory.
We must hold our leaders accountable, demand transparency and integrity, and reject the
empty promises that have led us astray. We must foster a culture of innovation and productivity,
nurturing our youth and empowering them to shape a brighter future.
And above all, we must reject the divisions that have plagued our society, the toxic
inequality that threatens to tear us apart. For it is only through unity, through a shared
vision of prosperity and justice, that we can rise from the ashes and reclaim our rightful place
among the economic titans of the world.
Of course, the sun will set on the United Kingdom, and we will no longer take up the entire
Earth. The path ahead will be arduous, but the alternative is absolutely unthinkable. We are the
inheritors of a proud legacy, a nation that once stood tall and commanded respect on the global
stage. It is time to reclaim that mantle, to cast off the shackles of complacency and embrace
the bold, decisive action that will restore our economic might.
The choice is ours, Britons. Will we succumb to the forces of decay, or will we rise through
the fires of adversity? The future of our great nation hangs in the balance, and the weight of
history rests upon our shoulders.
In this pivotal moment, I call upon you to tap into the wellspring of resilience that has
defined our nation throughout the ages. You can harness power of unity, the strength of our
collective will, and you have the unwavering determination that has carried us through even the
darkest of times.
The time for action is now. The future awaits, and it is ours to shape. Let us seize this
moment, and together, we shall emerge victorious, a beacon of hope and prosperity for
generations to come. The economic demise of our country isn't our destiny, but rather a
challenge to be conquered.
Thank You.
As you can probably tell, the entire speech is a mixed bag of some facts at best. Some of the points are solid, sourced economic points but I must have sweeped the entire speech with many value judgements, along with some sprinkles of outright insane mathematical errors.
The speech definitely touches on UK wage stagnation correctly. The final
report, "Ending
Stagnation" from the Economy 2030 uinquiry states that real wages grew around 33% per
decade
from 1970 to 2007, and have basically flatlined since the 2008 financial crisis. This costs the
average worker approximately £10,700 a year (relative to the pre-2008 trend). It also states
that around 9M younger workers have not known sustained pay growth.
According to the ONS and the previously mentioned Economy 2030 inquiry, business investment in
the UK has very frequently been at the bottom of the G7 and in the bottom 10% of OECD countries.
It is also a well-known fact that London and the South East together account for roughly 40% of
the UK's output, showing massive regional concentration in almost every sector. This
page from gov.uk explains all of it, and the graphs showing concentration by sector are
quite interesting.
Figure
4 in this survey by the ONS and
this graph from Trust for London both show that the people of the top decile hold about
44% of wealth.
NHS waiting lists really did hit the records, with the backlog peaking at 7.8M in September
2023. Even though this has slightly eased recently since the election of a new government, it
still remains somewhat historically high.
The most funny part of this speech is likely the completely busted arithmetic when it comes to
energy imports. I claimed that the UK imports "8% of its energy, 13% of which is from Russia",
concluding only 0.0104% reliance on Russia. THats a multiplication error, it should be
1.04%, not 0.0104%. Regardless, the premise is entirely off. UK import
dependancy was 35-38% in 2019-2021, and Russia accounted for 5-6% of UK energy supply in 2021
before any bans were implemented due to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine.
One of the weaker claims I made was that major firms like Tesco, Sainsburys and NatWest are
"registered in offshore tax havens". Strictly, this is inaccurate. Their parent companies are
incorporated in the UK (as Tesco PLC, J Sainsbury PLC in England & Wales, NatWest Group PLC in
Scotland). What I was really alluding to was the issue of tax avoidance. At the time,
especially during this speech, I used the terms "tax evasion" and "tax avoidance"
interchangeably which was an error. Evasion is genuinely illegal; avoidance is legal
but controversial. These companies do indeed have offshore subsidiaries in the mentioned tax
havens (quite obviously for tax avoidance), but that is not the same thing as being outright
"registered offshore".
TODO: add more later, Liz truss mini budget 30bn fiscal hole, 2022 welfare spending (clarify working age benefits rather than in general BC overall it was actually double, ~£216bn, tax evasion "trillions" (false), but evasion vs avoidance clarified, 2019 conswrvative donations, resolution foundation British households poorer Vs EU counterparts
TODO